This is the 3rd part of my personal and qualitativeself-review of MIRI in 2013，在其中我开始回顾美里2013年的研究活动。亚博体育官网通过“研亚博体育官网究活动”，我的意思是包括主要针对研究人员的外展工作，还包括three typesMir亚博体育官网i进行的研究：

• 说明性研究亚博体育官网aims to consolidate and clarify already-completed strategic research or Friendly AI research that hasn’t yet been explained with sufficient clarity or succinctness, e.g. “Intelligence Explosion: Evidence and Import“ 和 ”Robust Cooperation: A Case Study in Friendly AI Research。”(I consider this a form of “research” because it often requires significant research work to explain ideas clearly, cite relevant sources, etc.)
• 战略研究亚博体育官网旨在阐明未来可能会如何发展，以及我们现在可以做些什么来推动未来朝着良好的结果推动，并且涉及比说明性研究更多的新颖思想和建模 - 但是，这种区别是模糊的。亚博体育官网参见例如“情报爆炸微观经济学“ 和 ”How We’re Predicting AI — or Failing to。”¹
• 友好的AI研究亚博体育官网aims to solve the technical sub-problems that seem most relevant to the challenge of designing a stably self-improving artificial intelligence with humane values. This通常涉及sharpening philosophical problems into math problems, and then developing the math problems into engineering problems. See e.g. “Tiling Agents for Self-Modifying AI“ 和 ”囚犯困境中的强大合作。”

I’ll review MIRI’s strategic and expository research in this post;我对Miri 2013年友好AI研究的评论将在以后的帖子中出现亚博体育官网。在本文的其余部分中，我通常不会尝试区分哪些著作是“说明性”与“战略”研究，因为其中大多数部分都是两种。亚博体育官网

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1. 请注意，我所说的“ Miri的战略研究”或“超级智能战略研究”是一个以超智慧为中亚博体育官网心的子集给予会称呼“战略原因选择研究亚博体育官网“ 和CEAwould call this “cause prioritization research。”↩

2011年底，Miri开了一个Google Grants帐户，为非营利组织提供免费的Google AdWords $ 10K/mo。凯文·菲舍尔（Kevin Fischer）和我在几个月内调整了我们的AdWords帐户，直到我们连续花费了整整10,000美元/月3个月。

这使我们获得了Grants Pro的资格，并且我们仍然祖父（现在不可用）$ 40K/MO的免费AdWords。限额实际上是每天1350美元，即使最近增加了2美元/点击的最高竞标水平，也要明智地花费。但是随着更多的调整，我们现在每个月都可以花几乎所有。在过去的几年中，凯文和我之间可能在我们之间花费了100个小时来对此进行优化，但是在我们俩都为美里志愿服务时，大部分时间都是这样做的。正在进行的调整每月只需要一个小时或更短的时间。

The traffic is large (2/3 of our total) but marginal in quality. In the past 6 months, we drove ~250,000 visitors to MIRI’s site via Google Adwords.

• 5000 people read at least one of our research papers
• 500 signed up for the newsletter (our true goal since it gives them a chance to hear from us again)
• 150 went to thevolunteer site(and almost all didn’t sign up once they got there)
• 100 applied to attend research workshops (no qualified candidates yet)

Our impression is that MIRI has an especially hard time making good use of Google Adwords, because there is such a gulf of inferential distance between what we do and what people already know. Many我们可以向一个从未听说过我们的人展示的事情to try to have a strong impact would plausibly be比有帮助的更误导。We expect most charities could make higher-value use of Google Adwords than we can for this reason, including e.g. effective altruism meta-charities or animal welfare groups.

为每个新闻通讯订户支付16美元的费用非常糟糕，而且如果这是不受限制的钱，我们将如何花费1350美元。但是，AdWords在保证金上创造了一些价值，我们很高兴Google将我们包括在该计划中，并且我们能够通过使用它来吸引新的人有关我们的工作。每年有1000个人获取我们的新闻通讯，以及我们的内容更多的眼球。他们中的一些人可能会将其传递给其他对研讨会或其他事物有益的人。

还警告其他非营利组织:我们三ed many times to get interns or volunteers to improve our Adwords account, but nobody was good at it. Lots of remote supporters (some of whom swore they were amazing at AdWords) were given access and didn’t make a single change to a single campaign, much less create new experiments and find improvements. We also briefly tried paying a contractor to make new ads and they at least tried things, but their ads didn’t generate value so we had to let them go.

If charities work with volunteers or supporters to improve their Adwords accounts, I’d recommend requiring that volunteers produce proof that they are currently managing at least one other large Adwords account successfully (or only ask volunteers for cheap things like ideas and don’t expect any help from them doing the much more costly and difficult work of actually implementing their ideas).